The silicon photonics market has experienced remarkable growth, with its value reaching $68 million in 2022 and projected to exceed $600 million by 2028, reflecting a staggering 44% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period 2022-2028. This explosive expansion is underpinned by the surging demand for high-data-rate modules and the escalating adoption of optical I/O in machine learning (ML) servers, which are instrumental for scaling models with light, according to insights from Yole Developpement.
Notably, the industry landscape is characterized by a rich tapestry of participants, encompassing major vertically integrated players such as Intel, Cisco, Marvell, Broadcom, Nvidia, and IBM, in addition to a cohort of dynamic startups and design houses like AyarLabs, OpenLight, Lightmatter, and Lightelligence. This diverse mix of stakeholders underscores the competitive and innovative dynamism that propels the silicon photonics sector forward.
Within the datacom segment, Intel currently commands a substantial 61% market share in both shipments and revenue, solidifying its position as a dominant force. Following Intel, notable players including Cisco, Broadcom, and several smaller companies contribute to the sector's vibrancy and competitiveness. However, the proliferating portfolios and commercialization efforts of other industry participants are anticipated to erode Intel's dominance, heralding a potential shift in market dynamics.